A bit better than that, actually, since we already know that the key
isn't one of the 5*10^15 keys that have already been checked:
285985589952512 / (72057594037927936 - 4997492257062912) ~= 0.00426
or 0.426%. Which could be called "about 0.4%", I'll grant you, but let's
be optimistic. (: And, of course, this is based on the current key-search
rate; let's add in a mean growth of about 1.1*10^13 keys per day (the
average over the past week):
296976375311799 / (72057594037927936 - 4997492257062912) ~= 0.00442
and we bump the chance up to 0.442%.
This would indeed be a neat statistic to add to that page; whoever
handles the stats, are you up for it?
>Another one would be attached to each domain and would indicate the probability
>that the given domain will eventually find the key, based upon current
>rates and assuming rates stay the same.
Gee, that's easy for me. Zero, because I never get that lucky. ;)
--Andy Church | If Bell Atlantic really is the heart
achurch@dragonfire.net | of communication, then it desperately
www.dragonfire.net/~achurch/ | needs a quadruple bypass.